[O/C] Week 9 NFL Playoff Leverage

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#1 · Original post · Thu, 05 November 2026 16:17
[O/C] Week 9 NFL Playoff Leverage

Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time. Methodology The probabilities are calculated based on 50k simulations of all remaining games of the regular season. Win probabilities of each games are computed based on Elo ratings which update after eac...

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